Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-02 1.855794 2.147991 2.469257 2.848434 3.283486 3.766803 4.344253
2025-03-09 1.429305 1.805860 2.255304 2.830326 3.545559 4.405011 5.515348
2025-03-16 1.104895 1.508503 2.026388 2.737562 3.686676 4.907482 6.594760
2025-03-23 0.954248 1.395775 1.999834 2.882792 4.136303 5.847382 8.355275
2025-03-30 0.822107 1.280452 1.945143 2.973238 4.516407 6.738269 10.170328
2025-04-06 0.697316 1.151073 1.845450 2.976759 4.763707 7.464771 11.840979
2025-04-13 0.565100 0.985558 1.662456 2.820556 4.739375 7.774491 12.915319
2025-04-20 0.506402 0.928229 1.639134 2.910112 5.108139 8.728819 15.109104
2025-04-27 0.467018 0.896509 1.651682 3.057813 5.587452 9.912495 17.815445
2025-05-04 0.421280 0.845269 1.621574 3.124121 5.930446 10.900807 20.299523
2025-05-11 0.377826 0.790829 1.576814 3.155232 6.210046 11.804246 22.730709
2025-05-18 0.326528 0.712437 1.475205 3.063218 6.245089 12.264287 24.396109
2025-05-25 0.275328 0.627186 1.350469 2.913415 6.159031 12.507185 25.721093
2025-06-01 0.247230 0.586420 1.309733 2.928071 6.402487 13.412162 28.445643
2025-06-08 0.215203 0.531488 1.231094 2.851480 6.447093 13.927275 30.450340
2025-06-15 0.205671 0.526782 1.260833 3.014635 7.023120 15.593998 35.031346
2025-06-22 0.192458 0.511018 1.263295 3.116502 7.477163 17.055209 39.343987
2025-06-29 0.174654 0.480798 1.227655 3.124622 7.719489 18.085497 42.833371
2025-07-06 0.149424 0.427029 1.127433 2.963440 7.545354 18.170139 44.210768
2025-07-13 0.140795 0.415946 1.131138 3.058903 7.998034 19.731385 49.160043
2025-07-20 0.135715 0.413783 1.157253 3.214836 8.619234 21.753923 55.420733
2025-07-27 0.127080 0.400019 1.150891 3.285008 9.032418 23.324384 60.764666
2025-08-03 0.117714 0.382465 1.131703 3.318012 9.353277 24.703817 65.789463